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27th Jun - Crude Oil Breaks Long Term 38.2% Retracement

27 June 2012

WEEKLY CHART - CONTINUATION

After failing to clear the 2011 peak the correction has now violated last year’s pullback low, and the 38.2% retracement. This implies a more prolonged pullback phase should be seen.

This doesn’t, though, preclude a shorter term rebound. In respect note immediate support offered by the 89.58 May-10 high area. Will this temporarily hold?

DAILY CHART – Aug-12:

Latest weakness saw a breach of the early Oct-11 low. On this chart note a nearby Fibo projection at 87.90 offering s/term support near to that on the Weekly chart.

We wait to see if this can prompt a bounce.

The 94.73/95.21 area offers nearby resistance. Also note the 101.95 07-Jun high, close to the current, not shown, 38.2% rebound level (the Fibo projection relates to this fact), which is next resistance.

 

 

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