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30th July - How good a bear market is Oil

03 August 2015

TECHNICALS:

Light Crude Monthly futures continuation chart

The big picture of the Oil chart  is rather sobering. Since 2000 the solid base of the market has been $37.

Admittedly  there’s room to go lower, but there is going to be increasing support from here on down.

Light Crude Weekly chart

The trading range in the medium-term charts has yet to be broken; only if the market broke $44 would the bears really have much to enthuse about.

Light Crude Oct 15 daily futures chart

The current excitement surrounds the short-term chart situation.

There’s now doubt that the break down through the Prior Low of January at $50.10 matters.

We know that bear trends develop on the back of resistance from Prior Lows.

But this short-term bear situation must be tempered by the relatively benign picture in the medium-term and fast approaching support  at $37 in the long-term chart

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17th July - The Eurostoxx 50 is poised again

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