Short Term Bull Signal in USD/JPY Now Seen
19 October 2009
The FX Trader's view
WEEKLY CHART: The recovery seen earlier this year came to a halt close to the 101.66 61.8% retracement. Currently a recovery above the main falling resistance line, and then 97.78 Aug high, is needed to clear the way for any longer term bulls. Meanwhile the market is trying to find s/term support at/above the 87.11 low.
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DAILY CHART: In the Commodity Specialist Guide we had a Fibo projection around 88.00 (1.618 swing off prior 91.72/97.78 upswing) which has provided good s/term support. Our initial bull sign was to be a close above the 90.30 23.6% level, which has now been seen. We also note a recent positive RSI divergence. The 91.72 13-Jul low and 38.2% level offer next resistance, followed by the 92.88 50% level - a reasonable near term target. However, the more interesting resistance isn't seen until the bear channel top projection at 94.70 currently. |
In the Guide we are now buyers on dips back to the 89.00 area, initial stops just below the 87.98 07-Oct low, targeting a modest 91.50 for partial profits
Philip Allwright
Mark Sturdy
Seven Days Ahead
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