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Crude Oil Slip Finds Temporary Support

12 May 2011

 

WEEKLY CHART -CONTINUATION

Bulls have not been able to hold the higher ground above the 121.25 76.4% mark (& an equality target).

The current interest here is a 38.2% pullback level at 104.53, which also lies close to a longer term 23.6% pullback, not shown. It has provided temporary support, but a subsequent breach would herald a more prolonged pullback phase.

 

DAILY CHART -Jul-11:

 

In the Commodity Specialist Guide we had pointed out that the Mar/Apr structure was hinting at bull fatigue.

This proved correct, and the market has collapsed after testing the 2.618 swing projection (using the prior May-10 downmove) close to 126.00.

The 107.28 16-Mar low has not provided accurate support, but held on a closing basis last week

Note initial resistance has come from the 117.81 118.25 07-Mar high so far -there is a good chance that s/term rallies will prove temporary ahead of further bear activity.

The interest is as much in the longer term charts at present.

 

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